Logic Timing : Integrity. Discipline. Performace.

Performance

Historical Annual Performance

This page summarizes our annual signal performance, comparing them to the benchmark NASDAQ 100 index.  Note carefully that all results prior to 28-May-2004 (the date of our first live signal) are hypothetical - obtained by back-testing our engine.  Consequently results from those early years do not carry the same statistical significance as does the live, real-time data: 28-May-2004 to the present.  But since you have asked, we post them here.  Results indicated assume signal utilization for both long and short positions with no margin leveraging.  Neither tax implications nor brokerage fees are included.

This is the only page on the entire website that contains any back-tested results. Be wary of some other sites, even some very popular ones, that deceptively report back-tested numbers intermixed with their live results without clear and full disclosure.  Back-tested "results" are nearly always better than true results obtained live.

LogicTiming results prior to 2004 are applicable to the NASDAQ 100 as the hypothetical trading instrument; and thereafter the Live results utilize our two favorite exchange traded funds, QQQQ and IGN, in an evenly blended portfolio.

Live, real-time performance with this portfolio is 25.2% annualized.  As a point of comparison, it has been estimated that the lifetime return for the renowned investor Warren Buffett is approximately 22% annualized.

Annual Returns

  Year LogicTiming NASDAQ 100 Trades
1 1988 20.4% 13.5% 15
2 1989 27.2% 26.2% 3
3 1990 45.0% (10.4%) 12
4 1991 64.9% 65.0% 2
5 1992 14.2% 8.9% 2
6 1993 10.6% 10.6% 0
7 1994 25.8% 1.5% 2
8 1995 42.5% 42.5% 0
9 1996 53.8% 42.5% 2
10 1997 74.6% 20.6% 4
11 1998 176.0% 85.3% 18
12 1999 110.5% 102.0% 4
13 2000 247.7% (36.8%) 29
14 2001 188.6% (32.7%) 33
15 2002 122.7% (37.6%) 31
16 2003 84.1% 47.4% 11
17 2004 50.8% 10.4% 10
18 2005 27.0% 1.5% 20
19 2006 13.3% 6.8% 20
20 2007 7.3% 18.7% 13
21 2008 57.5% (40.5%) 41