Performance
| Annual Performance Summary | Live Signal Performance |
Historical Annual Performance
This page summarizes our annual signal performance, comparing them to the benchmark NASDAQ 100 index. Note carefully that all results prior to 28-May-2004 (the date of our first live signal) are hypothetical - obtained by back-testing our engine. Consequently results from those early years do not carry the same statistical significance as does the live, real-time data: 28-May-2004 to the present. But since you have asked, we post them here. Results indicated assume signal utilization for both long and short positions with no margin leveraging. Neither tax implications nor brokerage fees are included.
This is the only page on the entire website that contains any back-tested results. Be wary of some other sites, even some very popular ones, that deceptively report back-tested numbers intermixed with their live results without clear and full disclosure. Back-tested "results" are nearly always better than true results obtained live.
LogicTiming results prior to 2004 are applicable to the NASDAQ 100 as the hypothetical trading instrument; and thereafter the Live results utilize our two favorite exchange traded funds, QQQQ and IGN, in an evenly blended portfolio.
Live, real-time performance with this portfolio is 25.2% annualized. As a point of comparison, it has been estimated that the lifetime return for the renowned investor Warren Buffett is approximately 22% annualized.
Annual Returns |
Year | LogicTiming | NASDAQ 100 | Trades |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1988 | 20.4% | 13.5% | 15 |
| 2 | 1989 | 27.2% | 26.2% | 3 |
| 3 | 1990 | 45.0% | (10.4%) | 12 |
| 4 | 1991 | 64.9% | 65.0% | 2 |
| 5 | 1992 | 14.2% | 8.9% | 2 |
| 6 | 1993 | 10.6% | 10.6% | 0 |
| 7 | 1994 | 25.8% | 1.5% | 2 |
| 8 | 1995 | 42.5% | 42.5% | 0 |
| 9 | 1996 | 53.8% | 42.5% | 2 |
| 10 | 1997 | 74.6% | 20.6% | 4 |
| 11 | 1998 | 176.0% | 85.3% | 18 |
| 12 | 1999 | 110.5% | 102.0% | 4 |
| 13 | 2000 | 247.7% | (36.8%) | 29 |
| 14 | 2001 | 188.6% | (32.7%) | 33 |
| 15 | 2002 | 122.7% | (37.6%) | 31 |
| 16 | 2003 | 84.1% | 47.4% | 11 |
| 17 | 2004 | 50.8% | 10.4% | 10 |
| 18 | 2005 | 27.0% | 1.5% | 20 |
| 19 | 2006 | 13.3% | 6.8% | 20 |
| 20 | 2007 | 7.3% | 18.7% | 13 |
| 21 | 2008 | 57.5% | (40.5%) | 41 |
since market peak in Oct '07
| ETF | LogicTiming | Buy & Hold |
| QQQ | 114.8% | 25.2% |
| MDY | 135.0% | 8.2% |
Wealth won quickly dwindles away, but gathered little by little, it grows.
-Proverbs 13:11

